Mokslinis CB Potencialas

Centrobankininkų

Jundulas

juñdulas sm. (1) žr. jundilas: 1. Tas Antanas tai tikras juñdulas – niekad jo nematysi ramiai sėdinčio Slč. 2. [K].

Taigi, iš eilės:

1. Apie tai, kaip ECB prireikė Lietuvos Mokslų Akademijos salės savo „mokslinio įvaizdžio" formavimui:

2. Nėra Nobelio premijos už ekonomikos mokslo pasiekimus, yra tik Švedijos Riksbanko A.Nobeliui atminti skirtas

prizas.

3. „Juodosios gulbės"...

The black swan theory or theory of black swan events is a metaphor that describes an event that comes as a surprise, has a major effect, and is often inappropriately rationalized after the fact with the benefit of hindsight. The term is based on an ancient saying that presumed black swans did not exist – a saying that became reinterpreted to teach a different lesson after black swans were discovered in the wild.

The theory was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain:

1. The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology.
2. The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities).
3. The psychological biases that blind people, both individually and collectively, to uncertainty and to a rare event's massive role in historical affairs.

Unlike the earlier and broader "black swan problem" in philosophy (i.e. the problem of induction), Taleb's "black swan theory" refers only to unexpected events of large magnitude and consequence and their dominant role in history. Such events, considered extreme outliers, collectively play vastly larger roles than regular occurrences.^[1]:xxi More technically, in the scientific monograph 'Silent Risk',^[2] Taleb mathematically defines the black swan problem as "stemming from the use of degenerate metaprobability".^[2]

Išverskit raudoną tekstą paraidžiui į lietuvių kalbą, ir bus aišku, iš kur atskrenda pas aferistų apmulkintus mulkius „juodosios gulbės":)

4. Synoikos.